HomeGuides › Is my raise sized right?
The ask

Is my raise sized right? The arithmetic a partner runs first

Before a partner reads a single slide, they run a handful of arithmetic checks on your ask — in their head, in seconds. If the number fails one, the deck is already discounted. There's no judgment in these; they're just sanity ratios. Here are the four, with the math and the bands, plus a calculator to run them on your own ask.

The exact checks in the IR Narrative red-flag detector · ~7 min read

The four checks

1 · Round size vs. the stage band

Your ask is compared to the US median round-size band for your stage. Ask more than 2× the top of the band and it trips a hard flag — the partner will ask why you need that much now. Ask well under half the bottom and it flags too: either it won't buy enough runway or you're under-selling.

StageTypical round (US median)
Pre-seed$500K – $1.5M
Seed$2M – $5M
Series A$8M – $18M
Series B$20M – $45M

2 · Implied dilution

If your round were priced at the stage median post-money P, an ask A implies A / (P + A) dilution. Outside a healthy 10–25% band, the ask is mispriced for the stage — too much dilution means the raise is too big or you're implicitly pricing above the median; too little can leave you under-capitalized or read as small ambition.

StageMedian post-money
Pre-seed~$10M (typical SAFE cap)
Seed~$24M
Series A~$78.7M
Series B~$145M

Worked example: a $4M seed ask at the $24M median post-money implies 4 / (24 + 4) = 14.3% dilution — comfortably inside the band. A $9M seed ask implies 9 / (24 + 9) = 27.3% — over the band, and a red flag unless you're pricing above the median.

3 · Valuation vs. traction (the revenue multiple)

Stage median post-money ÷ your ARR gives an implied revenue multiple. Above a wide per-stage sanity ceiling (~100× at seed, ~60× at Series A, ~40× at Series B), a partner re-anchors the valuation down unless there's an AI or hyper-growth story to justify it. At Series A/B with no ARR at all, the whole story rests on non-revenue proof — expect intense scrutiny.

4 · Runway to the next bar

A round should buy roughly 18–24 months to reach the next round's ARR bar. Under 12 months of reported runway flags: you'll be back raising before you've generated the proof the next round needs. The next-round bars the engine uses: seed should fund the path to ~$1.5M+ ARR (the Series A bar); Series A should fund the path to ~$5M+ (the Series B bar).

A fifth check applies at Series A/B: burn-multiple coherence. A burn multiple well above the stage guide (≤2× at A, ≤1.5× at B) flags in the current efficiency environment — pair the ask with a credible path to a lower burn multiple.

Run it on your own ask

Ask sanity checker

A simplified live port of the report's red-flag detector. Move the inputs; these are arithmetic sanity checks, not a valuation.
Typical band for stage
US median round size
Implied dilution
at stage median post-money
Round-size & post-money bands are US medians from public reporting (Carta State of Private Markets Q4'25/Q1'26; PitchBook-NVCA Venture Monitor 2025). Not a valuation or a prediction of fundability.

Get the full detector run on your ask

The report runs all five checks with the worked math, plus rewrites your use-of-funds slide to be milestone-anchored and sized to the next round's bar.

Request the report — $490 Landing calculator