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Which metrics to lead with by stage — and the bar each clears

Founders rarely lose a raise on "bad metrics." They lose it by leading with the wrong metric for their stage — which invites the wrong question — or by presenting a number in a form that reads as manufactured. This guide covers both: which metric to lead with, and the conservative bar each clears.

The lead/support/omit logic and bands used by the IR Narrative engine · ~8 min read

Lead vs. support vs. omit

For every metric there's a decision at each stage: lead with it (put it in the headline), support with it (show it, but it's not the star), or omit it (showing it at this stage only invites a question you can't yet answer). Here's the map for a B2B-SaaS raise:

MetricPre-seedSeedSeries ASeries B
ARRcontextLEADLEADLEAD
MoM MRR growthsupportLEADsupportomit
YoY growth (×)omitsupportLEADLEAD
Gross marginomitsupportLEADLEAD
NDRomitomitLEADLEAD
Burn multipleomitcontextLEADLEAD
Logo retentionomitsupportsupportsupport
CAC paybackomitcontextsupportsupport
Design partners / LOIsLEADsupportomitomit

The single biggest shift is early to late: at pre-seed your design partners / LOIs are the traction — ARR is context only — while by Series A the story is carried by ARR, YoY growth, NDR and the burn multiple. A seed deck leading with NDR looks like it's answering a question no one asked yet; a Series A deck that buries NDR looks like it's hiding something.

The bars: clears vs. strong

These are deliberately conservative "bar to clear" bands, not top-decile vanity numbers, drawn from public benchmark reporting (Bessemer State of the Cloud, ICONIQ Growth, OpenView/High Alpha SaaS Benchmarks, KeyBanc, Carta). Verify against the source before you quote one to an investor — markets move.

MetricStageClearsStrong
ARRSeed$100K$1.0M
ARRSeries A$1.5M$3.0M
ARRSeries B$5.0M$10M
MoM MRR growthSeed10%20%
YoY growthSeries A
Gross margin (SaaS)Series A65%75%
NDRSeries A100%110%
NDRSeries B110%120%
Burn multiple (lower is better)Series A≤2×≤1×
CAC payback (lower is better)Series A≤18mo≤12mo
Logo retentionSeries A80%90%
Model overrides matter. Vertical-AI gross-margin bars sit ~20 points below software-grade (seed ~40% clears / 52% strong) because of inference cost — leading with a 54% margin as if it were a miss is a mistake. Marketplaces size on GMV × take-rate, not headline GMV. See the vertical-AI margin guide for the full path-up framing.

Present each metric in the form investors want

The number is half the battle; the form is the other half. A few of the presentation rules the engine applies:

ARR

State it as committed/contracted ARR (not run-rated one-offs), with current MoM growth beside it. Never annualize a single good month.

MoM MRR growth

Show as consecutive MoM % over the last 6+ months, not a single spike. At seed, sustained ~15%+ MoM is the headline number if ARR is still small.

YoY growth

State as a clean multiple (e.g. "3× YoY") from a stated base. A multiple off a tiny base must show the absolute base too, or it reads as manufactured.

Gross margin

Show the % with the COGS line beneath it. If below software-grade (AI inference, payments, hardware), pair it with the explicit path up as you scale.

NDR

Present as a trailing-12-month cohort number, defined (expansion + churn, existing logos only). Above 100% is the whole point — it means you grow with zero new logos.

Burn multiple

Net burn ÷ net new ARR, read next to your growth rate, never alone. In the efficiency era this is the number the IC memo cites verbatim.

CAC payback

Fully-loaded CAC recovered from gross-margin dollars, in months. State the loading — an unloaded number reads as a dodge.

GMV (marketplace)

Never lead with headline GMV. Pair it with take-rate so net revenue is visible; GMV alone invites the "thin marketplace" question.

Score your own metrics against the stage bar

The report grades each metric you provide 🟢/🟡/🔴 against your stage and model, tells you which to lead with, and gives the exact form to present it in.

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